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";i:6;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:439:"我们在大流行早期就听到了世卫组织研究人员和安东尼-福奇博士的这一预测：新冠病毒不可能被根除，无论疫苗多么有效。相反，我们将不得不学会与这种疾病共存，因为它从大流行过渡到地方病阶段。同样的事情也发生在流感和其他传染病上，它们会循环并导致疾病爆发。但疫苗和改进的疗法已经大大降低了这些疾病的死亡率。";}}i:7;s:2:"
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";i:10;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:163:"“SARS-CoV-2不会消失，”Bancel在周三的摩根大通医疗保健会议上说。“我们认为，我们将永远与这种病毒共存。”他补充道。";}}i:11;s:2:"
";i:12;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:382:"Moderna新冠疫苗已经成为成功通过3期临床试验的领先候选疫苗之一。该药物的有效性很高，就像辉瑞/BioNTech疫苗一样，并已获得美国和欧盟的紧急使用授权。Moderna公司已经预计该药物至少可以提供一年的免疫力，甚至更长的时间。Moderna将继续研究该药物，以制定未来几轮疫苗接种的方案。";}}i:13;s:2:"
";i:14;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:284:"另外，来自埃默里大学和宾夕法尼亚州立大学的研究人员已经撰写了一份研究报告，解释了COVID-19的严重性将如何在几年内改变。他们预计该病毒最终会变得不比普通感冒更具毒性，人们很可能在童年时期感染该病。";}}i:15;s:2:"
";i:16;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:471:"“我们对地方性人类冠状病毒（HCoVs）的免疫学和流行病学数据的分析表明，阻断感染的免疫力会迅速减弱，但减少疾病的免疫力是长期存在的，”研究人员写道。“我们的模型，结合了免疫的这些成分，既重现了（SARS-CoV-2）目前的严重性，也重现了HCoVs的良性，表明一旦达到流行阶段，且主要暴露于儿童时期，（SARS-CoV-2）的毒性可能不比普通感冒大。”";}}i:17;s:2:"
";i:18;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:143:"研究人员解释说，这一切都取决于儿童时期COVID-19的性质。儿童时期的疾病越不严重，成年后就越容易应对。";}}i:19;s:2:"
";i:20;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:372:"“该模型预测的感染死亡率（IFR)随时间的变化对针对当前和未来新兴HCoVs的疫苗接种策略有影响，”研究人员写道。“保持社交距离和有效的疫苗对于在疫情初期间和脱离疫情初期的过渡期的控制至关重要，但一旦我们进入地方性流行阶段，大规模的疫苗接种可能不再是必要的。”";}}i:21;s:2:"
";i:22;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:314:"“是否有必要继续接种疫苗，将取决于IFR的年龄依赖性。如果儿童的原发感染是轻微的。随着原发病例消退到轻微的儿童流鼻涕，可能不需要继续接种。另一方面，如果儿童的原发感染很严重（如MERS），那么就需要继续为儿童接种疫苗。"";}}i:23;s:2:"
";i:24;a:4:{s:3:"tag";s:4:"left";s:6:"option";N;s:8:"original";a:2:{i:0;s:6:"[LEFT]";i:1;s:7:"[/LEFT]";}s:8:"children";a:1:{i:0;s:511:"然而，这些研究无法预测COVID-19何时会从大流行转变为地方性疾病。像辉瑞/BioNTech和Moderna等已经在使用的疫苗，以及其他仍在测试中的候选疫苗，可以帮助各国达到群体免疫。福奇博士等专家预测，只要有大量的人接受免疫接种，能够获得疫苗的国家已经可能在秋季或2021年底结束COVID-19的爆发。目前，SARS-CoV-2在一些国家的发病率正在激增，美国的感染率和死亡率统计仍处于领先地位。";}}}, 1621686945, 1716011021
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